Premier Division
Match Analysis
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
W
D
D
W
W
L
Bohemians
L
D
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match features a clear quality gap favoring Bohemians, who are historically strong against Waterford and tend to produce high-scoring games in their past encounters. However, Waterford's strong recent form and a rest advantage could give them an edge. The model predicts a 53% chance of an away win, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a 60% chance of both teams scoring and a 55% chance of more than one goal overall, aligning closely with the market's inclination towards a goal-heavy game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians | Waterford | 1 - 1 | April 6, 2026 |
| Waterford | Bohemians | 0 - 1 | March 6, 2026 |
| Waterford | Bohemians | 1 - 4 | January 30, 2026 |
| Bohemians | Waterford | 2 - 1 | September 19, 2025 |
| Waterford | Bohemians | 2 - 1 | June 20, 2025 |
| Bohemians | Waterford | 1 - 2 | May 2, 2025 |
Waterford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Shelbourne | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Galway United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | St Patrick's Athl. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Derry City | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Dundalk | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 19, 26 | Home | Shamrock Rovers | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Bohemians Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | FC Midtjylland | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Galway United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Ballkani | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Ballkani | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | St Joseph S Fc | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | St Joseph S Fc | 2 - 0 | Win |
Premier Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bohemians | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 28 | +13 | 44 |
| 9 | Waterford | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.13% likelihood that both Waterford and Bohemians will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Bohemians to win
This prediction indicates that Bohemians has a 53.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.19 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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