Premier Division
Match Analysis
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
W
W
D
D
W
W
Derry City
W
D
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City | Waterford | 2 - 4 | July 3, 2026 |
| Waterford | Derry City | 2 - 2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Derry City | Waterford | 4 - 2 | February 27, 2026 |
| Waterford | Derry City | 1 - 2 | October 17, 2025 |
| Derry City | Waterford | 7 - 2 | July 4, 2025 |
| Waterford | Derry City | 2 - 1 | April 25, 2025 |
Waterford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Bohemians | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Shelbourne | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Galway United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | St Patrick's Athl. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Derry City | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Dundalk | 2 - 3 | Win |
Derry City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Sligo Rovers | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | St Patrick's Athl. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | HNK Rijeka | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | HNK Rijeka | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | CSKA Sofia | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | CSKA Sofia | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Premier Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Derry City | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 33 |
| 9 | Waterford | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 |
Predictions
Derry City to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Derry City has a 36.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.12 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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