Premier Division
Match Analysis
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
D
D
W
W
L
W
Shelbourne
L
W
D
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Shelbourne has dominated recent meetings between these two sides, giving them an edge despite Waterford having a notable rest advantage. The model predicts an away win with a 43% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of both teams scoring (59%) and believes there will be more than 1.5 goals (51%), aligning with the market's view on these outcomes. Overall, the clear quality gap favoring Shelbourne influences the prediction towards an away win and a more open, higher-scoring match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne | Waterford | 2 - 1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Waterford | Shelbourne | 1 - 1 | February 6, 2026 |
| Shelbourne | Waterford | 2 - 1 | September 26, 2025 |
| Waterford | Shelbourne | 2 - 2 | June 23, 2025 |
| Shelbourne | Waterford | 0 - 1 | May 5, 2025 |
| Waterford | Shelbourne | 0 - 1 | February 21, 2025 |
Waterford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Galway United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | St Patrick's Athl. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Derry City | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Dundalk | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 19, 26 | Home | Shamrock Rovers | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 12, 26 | Home | Sligo Rovers | 4 - 0 | Win |
Shelbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Kalju Nomme | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | Celtic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Dundalk | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Sligo Rovers | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 22, 26 | Home | Bohemians | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Premier Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shelbourne | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Waterford | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.75% likelihood that both Waterford and Shelbourne will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Shelbourne to win
This prediction indicates that Shelbourne has a 42.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.50 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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