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Championship
Watford logo Watford
Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Stoke City logo Stoke City

Match Analysis

Watford Stoke City
Watford L D W W L W
Stoke City D L L W D W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Stoke City Watford 3 - 1 March 14, 2026
Watford Stoke City 1 - 0 December 20, 2025
Stoke City Watford 0 - 0 March 1, 2025
Watford Stoke City 3 - 0 August 17, 2024
Watford Stoke City 1 - 1 December 29, 2023
Stoke City Watford 1 - 0 August 19, 2023

Watford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Home Peterborough 1 - 5 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Wrexham 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Home Southampton 2 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Crawley Town 1 - 0 Win
Jul 29, 26 Home Fiorentina 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Hansa Rostock 3 - 0 Win

Stoke City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Home Hull City 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Southampton 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Swansea 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Oldham 2 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Valencia 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Home Everton 1 - 0 Win

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Watford 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
21 Stoke City 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Watford to win
This prediction indicates that Watford has a 46.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.27 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Championship

Watford vs West Ham 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Charlton vs Preston 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Derby vs Swansea 8 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › Blackburn vs QPR 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Middlesbrough vs West Brom 8 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › Bolton vs Lincoln 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Wolves vs Stoke City 8 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › Norwich vs Burnley 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Bristol City vs Portsmouth 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Southampton vs Millwall 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Cardiff vs Sheffield Utd 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›