Werribee City vs Keilor Park Saturday 18th July 2026 08:00 AM football predictions.

Werribee City Keilor Park

Werribee City L D L L W L

Keilor Park W L W L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Keilor Park	Werribee City	2 - 1	April 10, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Eastern Lions	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Altona City	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Essendon Royals SC	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Away	Whittlesea United	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Away	Box Hill	0 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Bayside Argonauts	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Malvern	1 - 0	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	Springvale	5 - 2	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Moreland City	2 - 0	Win
Jun 12, 26	Away	Nunawading	2 - 0	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	Kingston City	2 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Eastern Lions	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Keilor Park	18	9	1	8	25	26	-1	28
11	Werribee City	20	5	5	10	26	34	-8	20

This prediction indicates that Werribee City has a 36.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.42 %

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