Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau Sunday 12th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Yelimay Semey Atyrau

Yelimay Semey W W L W W D

Atyrau L L D D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Atyrau	Yelimay Semey	1 - 2	June 21, 2026
Yelimay Semey	Atyrau	3 - 2	October 26, 2025
Atyrau	Yelimay Semey	2 - 1	March 1, 2025
Atyrau	Yelimay Semey	1 - 0	October 26, 2024
Yelimay Semey	Atyrau	0 - 0	March 2, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 0	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Atyrau	1 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Ordabasy	1 - 3	Loss
May 28, 26	Away	Kaisar	2 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Zhenys	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Irtysh	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Kaspiy	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Yelimay Semey	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Kairat Almaty	1 - 1	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Zhetysu	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Aktobe	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Yelimay Semey	15	7	5	3	24	18	+6	26
10	Atyrau	15	2	9	4	10	12	-2	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Yelimay Semey has a 48.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.87 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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