York United vs Forge Monday 27th July 2026 12:00 AM football predictions.

York United Forge

York United L L L L D W

Forge W W W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
York United	Forge	1 - 4	June 7, 2026
Forge	York United	3 - 0	October 18, 2025
York United	Forge	1 - 2	August 9, 2025
Forge	York United	2 - 2	June 29, 2025
York United	Forge	2 - 2	April 27, 2025
Forge	York United	2 - 0	September 28, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Vancouver FC	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 10, 26	Home	Cavalry FC	1 - 5	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Forge	1 - 4	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Supra du Quebec	3 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	HFX Wanderers FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Pacific FC	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	Supra du Quebec	1 - 2	Win
Jul 1, 26	Home	Vancouver FC	3 - 2	Win
Jun 10, 26	Home	HFX Wanderers FC	1 - 0	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	York United	1 - 4	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Cavalry FC	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Atlético Ottawa	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Forge	11	9	1	1	18	6	+12	28
6	York United	10	3	3	4	13	21	-8	12

This prediction indicates that Forge has a 48.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.99 %

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