Ypiranga-RS vs Ferroviária Monday 24th August 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Serie C

Aug. 24, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Ypiranga-RS Ferroviária

Ypiranga-RS W W L W D W

Ferroviária D D W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ferroviária	Ypiranga-RS	4 - 2	October 5, 2024
Ypiranga-RS	Ferroviária	0 - 0	August 31, 2024
Ypiranga-RS	Ferroviária	0 - 1	August 4, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Home	Floresta	4 - 1	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Barra	1 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	Maranhão	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Paysandu	1 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Confiança	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Santa Cruz	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Figueirense	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Maranhão	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Away	Ituano	1 - 3	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Caxias	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	AO Itabaiana	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Inter De Limeira	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Ferroviária	16	6	6	4	17	14	+3	24
12	Ypiranga-RS	15	6	3	6	18	19	-1	21

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ypiranga-RS has a 37.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.67 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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