Primera C
Match Analysis
Yupanqui
Canuelas
Yupanqui
D
D
L
W
L
L
Canuelas
L
W
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Yupanqui have struggled in recent matches, while Canuelas have been performing well. The model also sees Canuelas as the better side overall and notes they have had more time to rest before this game. With these factors in mind, the model predicts Canuelas will win about 40% of the time, showing more confidence in an away victory than the market odds suggest. The model also expects few goals overall, leaning toward matches ending with under 2.5 goals, again differing from the market's view.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canuelas | Yupanqui | 0 - 1 | April 4, 2026 |
| Canuelas | Yupanqui | 0 - 0 | August 30, 2025 |
| Yupanqui | Canuelas | 1 - 1 | May 20, 2025 |
| Yupanqui | Canuelas | 0 - 1 | October 25, 2014 |
| Canuelas | Yupanqui | 3 - 1 | August 30, 2014 |
| Canuelas | Yupanqui | 1 - 1 | February 27, 2014 |
Yupanqui Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | Fénix | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Argentino Rosario | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Deportivo Muñiz | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Sportivo Barracas | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Deportivo Español | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Lujan | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Canuelas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Deportivo Muñiz | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Leandro N. Alem | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Deportivo Español | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Central Cordoba | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 30, 26 | Away | Claypole | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Central Ballester | 0 - 1 | Win |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Canuelas | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 13 | +10 | 36 |
| 13 | Yupanqui | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 29 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Canuelas to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Canuelas has a 39.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.28 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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