Zenit vs Neftchi Wednesday 08th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Zenit Neftchi

Zenit W W W W D W

Neftchi W W L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Neftchi	Zenit	2 - 1	November 18, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	FC Rostov	0 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	PFC Sochi	2 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	1 - 3	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Akhmat	2 - 0	Win
Apr 22, 26	Away	Lokomotiv	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Makhachkala	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 10, 26	Home	Dinamo Batumi	4 - 1	Win
Feb 7, 26	Away	Oleksandria	1 - 2	Win
Jan 31, 26	Home	Arkadag	1 - 2	Loss
Jan 29, 26	Away	Arda Kardzhali	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 20, 26	Away	Septemvri Sofia	0 - 2	Win
Jan 16, 26	Away	Aluminij	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
29	Zenit	8	6	1	1	18	7	+11	19
209	Neftchi	7	4	0	3	11	11	0	12

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.46% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Zenit has a 61.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.98 %

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