Challenge League
Match Analysis
Étoile Carouge
Rapperswil
Étoile Carouge
L
D
W
L
W
L
Rapperswil
L
W
L
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapperswil | Étoile Carouge | 2 - 1 | April 24, 2026 |
| Étoile Carouge | Rapperswil | 2 - 1 | January 30, 2026 |
| Étoile Carouge | Rapperswil | 0 - 2 | November 21, 2025 |
| Rapperswil | Étoile Carouge | 1 - 0 | July 25, 2025 |
Étoile Carouge Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Yverdon Sport | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | FC Aarau | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | BSC Young Boys | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Servette FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Lausanne | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Rapperswil Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Stade Nyonnais | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | FC WIL 1900 | 4 - 5 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Cham | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | FC Lugano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | FC Basel 1893 | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Challenge League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Étoile Carouge | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 5 | Rapperswil | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.69% likelihood that both Étoile Carouge and Rapperswil will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Étoile Carouge to win
This prediction indicates that Étoile Carouge has a 52.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.33 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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