Ústí nad Labem II vs Chomutov Saturday 11th July 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ústí nad Labem II Chomutov

Ústí nad Labem II L D L L L W

Chomutov L L L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chomutov	Ústí nad Labem II	1 - 1	January 25, 2025

Ústí nad Labem II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 21, 26	Home	Štětí	0 - 5	Loss
Feb 7, 26	Away	Junior Decin	2 - 2	Draw
Feb 4, 26	Away	Sokol Brozany	3 - 1	Loss
Jan 17, 26	Away	Varnsdorf	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 25	Home	Sokol Brozany	2 - 3	Loss
Feb 14, 25	Home	Baník Modlany	4 - 3	Win

Chomutov Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 14, 26	Away	Ústí nad Labem	7 - 1	Loss
Jan 17, 26	Away	Baník Souš	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 13, 25	Home	Admira Praha	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 2, 25	Away	Louny	1 - 4	Win
Feb 15, 25	Away	Arsenal Česká Lípa	3 - 1	Loss
Feb 1, 25	Home	Teplice II	0 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.04% likelihood that both Ústí nad Labem II and Chomutov will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Ústí nad Labem II to win

This prediction indicates that Ústí nad Labem II has a 48.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.10 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 82.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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