Karlsruher SC vs SGV Freiberg Thursday 09th July 2026 12:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Karlsruher SC SGV Freiberg

Karlsruher SC L D W L L W

SGV Freiberg L D W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Karlsruher SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	VfL Bochum	1 - 2	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	SC Paderborn 07	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	SV Darmstadt 98	2 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Hannover 96	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Away	SV Elversberg	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 10, 26	Home	Arminia Bielefeld	4 - 1	Win

SGV Freiberg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 14, 26	Away	VfR Mannheim	6 - 4	Loss
Jan 29, 26	Away	Bayern München II	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 24, 26	Away	VfR Aalen	1 - 3	Win
Jan 17, 26	Away	Bissingen	2 - 7	Win
Jul 23, 25	Home	Stuttgart II	5 - 1	Win
Jul 20, 25	Home	Augsburg II	3 - 0	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
493	SGV Freiberg	4	2	1	1	14	9	+5	7
831	Karlsruher SC	3	1	1	1	5	4	+1	4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.29% likelihood that both Karlsruher SC and SGV Freiberg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

SGV Freiberg to win

This prediction indicates that SGV Freiberg has a 60.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.28 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs