Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
D
L
L
D
L
W
Ilves
W
W
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
AC Oulu are coming off poor recent form, while Ilves have been performing strongly and hold a clear quality advantage. Despite this, Ilves' recent matches against AC Oulu have tended to be low-scoring, and AC Oulu have had extra time to prepare. The model predicts a home win with a 38% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply, and also predicts that more than one goal will be scored, aligning with the market's view on this outcome.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves | AC Oulu | 1 - 0 | May 8, 2026 |
| AC Oulu | Ilves | 0 - 4 | August 16, 2025 |
| Ilves | AC Oulu | 0 - 0 | May 24, 2025 |
| AC Oulu | Ilves | 0 - 1 | August 4, 2024 |
| Ilves | AC Oulu | 3 - 2 | May 4, 2024 |
| Ilves | AC Oulu | 1 - 0 | March 29, 2024 |
AC Oulu Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Mariehamn | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Gnistan | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Turku PS | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Lahti | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 23, 26 | Away | VPS | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Mariehamn | 2 - 1 | Win |
Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Stjarnan | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Lahti | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Stjarnan | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Turku PS | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | FC Differdange 03 | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | FC Differdange 03 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AC Oulu | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Ilves | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.49% likelihood that both AC Oulu and Ilves will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
AC Oulu or Ilves to win
This prediction indicates that AC Oulu has a 37.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.56 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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