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Eredivisie
Ajax logo Ajax
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Excelsior logo Excelsior

Match Analysis

Ajax Excelsior
Ajax W W W D D W
Excelsior W L W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Excelsior Ajax 2 - 2 February 1, 2026
Ajax Excelsior 1 - 2 November 22, 2025
Ajax Excelsior 2 - 2 April 24, 2024
Excelsior Ajax 2 - 2 August 19, 2023
Excelsior Ajax 1 - 4 January 29, 2023
Ajax Excelsior 7 - 1 October 16, 2022

Ajax Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Telstar 0 - 4 Win
Aug 27, 26 Home FC Sion 5 - 3 Win
Aug 20, 26 Away FC Sion 2 - 4 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Heerenveen 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 13, 26 Away Shelbourne 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 Win

Excelsior Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home PSV Eindhoven 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Cambuur 0 - 4 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away De Graafschap 1 - 5 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away Heracles 3 - 5 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away NAC Breda 1 - 3 Win

Eredivisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Ajax 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7
8 Excelsior 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.12% likelihood that both Ajax and Excelsior will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Ajax to win
This prediction indicates that Ajax has a 67.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.13 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Eredivisie

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Utrecht vs GO Ahead Eagles 14 hours from now · 7:45 p.m. › NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord 12 hours from now · 5:30 p.m. › Willem II vs Excelsior 16 hours from now · 10 p.m. ›