Aktobe vs Okzhetpes Saturday 25th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Aktobe Okzhetpes

Aktobe W L W W D D

Okzhetpes W W W D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Okzhetpes	Aktobe	2 - 2	May 28, 2026
Aktobe	Okzhetpes	2 - 1	August 17, 2025
Okzhetpes	Aktobe	1 - 3	May 17, 2025
Okzhetpes	Aktobe	1 - 1	October 22, 2023
Aktobe	Okzhetpes	5 - 1	March 9, 2023
Aktobe	Okzhetpes	1 - 2	October 20, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Zhetysu	2 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Zhetysu	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	FC Astana	2 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Altay	2 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Okzhetpes	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 2, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	5 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Kairat Almaty	1 - 3	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	2 - 1	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Zhetysu	2 - 2	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	Aktobe	2 - 2	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Altay	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Okzhetpes	16	9	6	1	28	14	+14	33
7	Aktobe	15	6	4	5	18	14	+4	22

This prediction indicates that Aktobe has a 36.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.13 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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