Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis Saturday 03rd October 2026 08:00 AM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Albirex Niigata Tokushima Vortis
Albirex Niigata W L W L W W
Tokushima Vortis L W W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Albirex Niigata Tokushima Vortis 1 - 0 May 6, 2026
Tokushima Vortis Albirex Niigata 4 - 0 February 15, 2026
Albirex Niigata Tokushima Vortis 2 - 2 August 6, 2022
Tokushima Vortis Albirex Niigata 1 - 1 June 4, 2022
Tokushima Vortis Albirex Niigata 0 - 0 October 25, 2020
Albirex Niigata Tokushima Vortis 0 - 1 September 19, 2020

Albirex Niigata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 13, 26 Home Montedio Yamagata 1 - 0 Win
Sep 6, 26 Away Yokohama FC 5 - 0 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Away Iwaki 2 - 3 Win
Aug 26, 26 Home Kagoshima United 0 - 4 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Fujieda MYFC 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Consadole Sapporo 2 - 1 Win

Tokushima Vortis Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 12, 26 Away Blaublitz Akita 4 - 1 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Home Iwaki 1 - 0 Win
Aug 29, 26 Home Oita Trinita 1 - 0 Win
Aug 26, 26 Home FC Tokushima 3 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Jubilo Iwata 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Sagan Tosu 0 - 0 Draw

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Albirex Niigata 26 13 7 6 28 26 +2 46
7 Tokushima Vortis 26 13 4 9 45 31 +14 43

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Albirex Niigata to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Albirex Niigata has a 35.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.61 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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