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Montedio Yamagata logo Montedio Yamagata
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Kataller Toyama logo Kataller Toyama

Match Analysis

Montedio Yamagata Kataller Toyama
Montedio Yamagata W D W L W W
Kataller Toyama L L W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Montedio Yamagata Kataller Toyama 3 - 0 September 14, 2025
Kataller Toyama Montedio Yamagata 0 - 0 April 29, 2025
Kataller Toyama Montedio Yamagata 1 - 1 August 10, 2014
Montedio Yamagata Kataller Toyama 1 - 0 May 3, 2014
Montedio Yamagata Kataller Toyama 1 - 1 September 7, 2013
Kataller Toyama Montedio Yamagata 1 - 3 August 25, 2013

Montedio Yamagata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Imabari 0 - 3 Win
Aug 26, 26 Home Fujieda MYFC 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Yokohama FC 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Shonan Bellmare 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Tochigi City 2 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Win

Kataller Toyama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Fujieda MYFC 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Away Sagan Tosu 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Imabari 4 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Blaublitz Akita 0 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Vanraure Hachinohe 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Vegalta Sendai 1 - 1 Draw

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Kataller Toyama 23 13 6 4 47 27 +20 45
25 Montedio Yamagata 23 8 3 12 25 28 -3 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.7% likelihood that both Montedio Yamagata and Kataller Toyama will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Montedio Yamagata or Kataller Toyama to win
This prediction indicates that Montedio Yamagata has a 40.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.22 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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J2 League

Tokushima Vortis vs Iwaki 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Montedio Yamagata vs Ventforet Kofu 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure Hachinohe 7 hours from now · 12:30 p.m. › Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. ›