Primera División logo

Primera División
Alianza Lima logo Alianza Lima
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Deportivo Garcilaso logo Deportivo Garcilaso

Match Analysis

Alianza Lima Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima D W D W L D
Deportivo Garcilaso W W W L W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Garcilaso Alianza Lima 1 - 1 March 14, 2026
Alianza Lima Deportivo Garcilaso 3 - 4 September 14, 2025
Deportivo Garcilaso Alianza Lima 0 - 1 April 15, 2025
Deportivo Garcilaso Alianza Lima 1 - 2 October 27, 2024
Alianza Lima Deportivo Garcilaso 3 - 2 May 20, 2024
Deportivo Garcilaso Alianza Lima 0 - 1 October 29, 2023

Alianza Lima Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Sport Boys 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Alianza Atletico 3 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Comerciantes Unidos 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 20, 26 Home Sport Huancayo 2 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Home Deportivo Cali 0 - 2 Loss
May 31, 26 Away FC Cajamarca 1 - 1 Draw

Deportivo Garcilaso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home UCV Moquegua 2 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away ADT 0 - 1 Win
Jul 27, 26 Home FC Cajamarca 2 - 1 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away Sporting Cristal 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Juan Pablo II College 4 - 1 Win
May 25, 26 Away Comerciantes Unidos 0 - 0 Draw

Primera División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 21 14 6 1 38 13 +25 48
6 Deportivo Garcilaso 21 10 5 6 26 20 +6 35

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.87% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Alianza Lima to win
This prediction indicates that Alianza Lima has a 65.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.78 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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