Alloa Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Challenge Cup

Alloa Athletic

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Gala Fairydean Rovers

Match Analysis

Alloa Athletic Gala Fairydean Rovers

Alloa Athletic D D D W W W

Gala Fairydean Rovers L L L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Alloa Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	Clydebank	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Cove Rangers	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Peterhead	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 25, 26	Home	Motherwell U21	3 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Queen of the South	0 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Montrose	3 - 0	Win

Gala Fairydean Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Home	Hearts U21	1 - 6	Loss
Aug 25, 26	Away	Stranraer	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 11, 26	Home	Rangers U21	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Hibernian U21	1 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Pollok	3 - 1	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Vale of Leithen	0 - 4	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.19% likelihood that both Alloa Athletic and Gala Fairydean Rovers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Alloa Athletic to win

This prediction indicates that Alloa Athletic has a 50.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.07 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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