Alloa Athletic vs Montrose Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Alloa Athletic Montrose

Alloa Athletic L D D L L W

Montrose L W W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Montrose	Alloa Athletic	5 - 4	March 14, 2026
Alloa Athletic	Montrose	4 - 1	January 20, 2026
Montrose	Alloa Athletic	0 - 4	November 8, 2025
Alloa Athletic	Montrose	0 - 1	September 13, 2025
Alloa Athletic	Montrose	2 - 1	July 15, 2025
Alloa Athletic	Montrose	2 - 1	April 26, 2025

Alloa Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Falkirk	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Stranraer	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	Edinburgh City	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Home	Livingston	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	Civil Service Strollers	5 - 0	Win

Montrose Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Spartans	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Arbroath	0 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Stirling Albion	0 - 2	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	1 - 0	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Inverurie Loco Works	7 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	0 - 3	Loss

League One Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Montrose	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Alloa Athletic	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.17% likelihood that both Alloa Athletic and Montrose will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Alloa Athletic to win

This prediction indicates that Alloa Athletic has a 41.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.72 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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