Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Alloa Athletic Stranraer

Alloa Athletic L W W L W W

Stranraer W D W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stranraer	Alloa Athletic	2 - 1	August 12, 2025
Alloa Athletic	Stranraer	0 - 1	April 7, 2018
Stranraer	Alloa Athletic	1 - 0	February 24, 2018
Alloa Athletic	Stranraer	1 - 0	December 23, 2017
Stranraer	Alloa Athletic	2 - 0	October 14, 2017
Alloa Athletic	Stranraer	1 - 0	April 29, 2017

Alloa Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 30, 26	Home	Livingston	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	Civil Service Strollers	5 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	1 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Airdrie United	1 - 2	Win
May 5, 26	Home	Airdrie United	1 - 0	Win

Stranraer Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Dundela	4 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Larne	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Elgin City	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Stirling Albion	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Spartans	1 - 2	Win

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Stranraer	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Alloa Athletic	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.7% likelihood that both Alloa Athletic and Stranraer will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Alloa Athletic to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Alloa Athletic has a 37.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.15 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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