Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer Tuesday 11th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Alloa Athletic Stranraer

Alloa Athletic L D D L L W

Stranraer L L D L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Alloa Athletic	Stranraer	2 - 2	July 18, 2026
Stranraer	Alloa Athletic	2 - 1	August 12, 2025
Alloa Athletic	Stranraer	0 - 1	April 7, 2018
Stranraer	Alloa Athletic	1 - 0	February 24, 2018
Alloa Athletic	Stranraer	1 - 0	December 23, 2017
Stranraer	Alloa Athletic	2 - 0	October 14, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Falkirk	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Stranraer	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	Edinburgh City	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Home	Livingston	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	Civil Service Strollers	5 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Falkirk	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Edinburgh City	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Ayr Utd	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Morton	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Dundela	4 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that Alloa Athletic has a 51.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.55 %

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