Amarante vs União de Leiria Sunday 13th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Segunda Liga

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Amarante União de Leiria

Amarante D L L L L W

União de Leiria W W L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Away	Vizela	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 16, 26	Home	Lusitânia Lourosa	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Tondela	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Moreirense	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Away	Chaves	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Guimaraes B	1 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 28, 26	Home	Tondela	2 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Leixoes	2 - 4	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Benfica B	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	Vizela	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Away	Las Palmas	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Home	AD Marco 09	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	União de Leiria	4	2	0	2	7	5	+2	6
16	Amarante	3	0	1	2	1	3	-2	1

This prediction indicates that Amarante has a 39.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.20 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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