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Segunda Liga

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Amarante Benfica B
Amarante L L L W W D
Benfica B W W W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Amarante Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Tondela 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Moreirense 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Away Chaves 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Guimaraes B 1 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Home União Santarém 1 - 0 Win
May 1, 26 Away Trofense 0 - 0 Draw

Benfica B Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away União de Leiria 1 - 2 Win
Aug 10, 26 Home Leixoes 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Atlético CP 0 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Mérida AD 4 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Casa Pia 1 - 0 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Al-Nassr 2 - 1 Win

Segunda Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Benfica B 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Amarante 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Amarante to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Amarante has a 39.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.28 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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