Amora vs UD da Serra Sunday 20th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Amora UD da Serra

Amora D L W L W L

UD da Serra W L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 1, 26	Away	SC Covilha	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Lusitano Évora 1911	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	1º Dezembro	0 - 1	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	Caldas	1 - 2	Loss
Mar 22, 26	Away	Atlético CP	1 - 2	Win
Mar 14, 26	Home	1º Dezembro	0 - 4	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	Uniao de Pombal	5 - 0	Win
Sep 21, 25	Away	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 24	Away	Caldas	1 - 0	Loss
Oct 2, 22	Home	Oliveirense	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 11, 22	Home	Pedrógão São Pedro	5 - 1	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.75% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Amora has a 40.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.05 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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