Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca Thursday 16th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Apollon Limassol AEK Larnaca

Apollon Limassol L L W W L W

AEK Larnaca W D D W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
AEK Larnaca	Apollon Limassol	1 - 0	May 6, 2026
Apollon Limassol	AEK Larnaca	1 - 1	April 5, 2026
AEK Larnaca	Apollon Limassol	0 - 1	February 14, 2026
Apollon Limassol	AEK Larnaca	1 - 2	November 2, 2025
AEK Larnaca	Apollon Limassol	3 - 0	May 12, 2025
Apollon Limassol	AEK Larnaca	1 - 1	April 6, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Home	Pafos	0 - 2	Loss
May 22, 26	Away	Omonia Nicosia	5 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Aris	3 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Apoel Nicosia	2 - 0	Win
May 6, 26	Away	AEK Larnaca	1 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Pafos	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 22, 26	Away	Aris	3 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Pafos	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Omonia Nicosia	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Apollon Limassol	1 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Apoel Nicosia	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Aris	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1676	AEK Larnaca	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1676	Apollon Limassol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that AEK Larnaca has a 48.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.31 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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