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Arda Kardzhali logo Arda Kardzhali
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Cherno More Varna logo Cherno More Varna

Match Analysis

Arda Kardzhali Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali L W W W W L
Cherno More Varna L W L L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cherno More Varna Arda Kardzhali 2 - 3 May 25, 2026
Arda Kardzhali Cherno More Varna 0 - 0 May 3, 2026
Cherno More Varna Arda Kardzhali 0 - 0 March 4, 2026
Arda Kardzhali Cherno More Varna 0 - 1 September 22, 2025
Arda Kardzhali Cherno More Varna 0 - 0 May 18, 2025
Cherno More Varna Arda Kardzhali 1 - 1 May 4, 2025

Arda Kardzhali Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 4, 26 Home Botev Plovdiv 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 31, 26 Home Botev Vratsa 2 - 0 Win
Aug 24, 26 Away Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 1 Win
Aug 17, 26 Home Lokomotiv Sofia 3 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Dunav Ruse 0 - 2 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away CSKA 1948 2 - 1 Loss

Cherno More Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away CSKA Sofia 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home Dunav Ruse 3 - 1 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away CSKA 1948 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Ludogorets 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Botev Plovdiv 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Spartak Varna 0 - 3 Loss

First League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Arda Kardzhali 7 5 1 1 11 4 +7 16
11 Cherno More Varna 7 1 1 5 8 16 -8 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.07% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Arda Kardzhali to win
This prediction indicates that Arda Kardzhali has a 53.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.13 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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