First League
Match Analysis
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
Spartak Varna
L
L
W
W
D
W
CSKA Sofia
L
W
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | CSKA Sofia | 0 - 4 | November 29, 2025 |
| CSKA Sofia | Spartak Varna | 1 - 1 | July 26, 2025 |
| CSKA Sofia | Spartak Varna | 5 - 0 | May 13, 2025 |
| Spartak Varna | CSKA Sofia | 0 - 1 | April 26, 2025 |
| CSKA Sofia | Spartak Varna | 3 - 1 | December 3, 2024 |
| Spartak Varna | CSKA Sofia | 3 - 0 | August 3, 2024 |
Spartak Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Septemvri Sofia | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Botev Plovdiv | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Cherno More Varna | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | CSKA 1948 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Dobrudzha | 7 - 3 | Win |
CSKA Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | OFI | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Botev Vratsa | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Septemvri Sofia | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Dunav Ruse | 2 - 1 | Win |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 13 |
| 6 | Spartak Varna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.CSKA Sofia to win
This prediction indicates that CSKA Sofia has a 61.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.68 %Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments