Arlanda vs Järfälla Saturday 17th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Ettan - Norra

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Arlanda View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 10 hours ago

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Järfälla View team ›

Match Analysis

Arlanda Järfälla

Arlanda L W W W W L

Järfälla L D L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an Arlanda home win with a 61% probability. This outlook is supported by a clear quality gap favoring Arlanda and their strong recent form compared to Järfälla's poor form. Additionally, historical meetings between the two teams have been goal-filled, with Arlanda dominating. The market odds also reflect confidence in a home win, aligning closely with the model's view.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Järfälla	Arlanda	2 - 3	Ettan - Norra	June 13, 2026
Järfälla	Arlanda	0 - 1	Division 2 - Norra Svealand	September 15, 2024
Arlanda	Järfälla	3 - 0	Division 2 - Norra Svealand	May 18, 2024
Arlanda	Järfälla	2 - 1	Division 2 - Norra Svealand	October 7, 2023
Järfälla	Arlanda	3 - 0	Division 2 - Norra Svealand	June 25, 2023
Järfälla	Arlanda	5 - 1	Division 2 - Norra Svealand	July 7, 2021

Arlanda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	IF Karlstad	Ettan - Norra	3 - 0	Loss
Oct 4, 26	Away	Vasalund	Ettan - Norra	1 - 4	Win
Sep 27, 26	Home	Enköping	Ettan - Norra	2 - 0	Win
Sep 21, 26	Home	Hammarby Talang	Ettan - Norra	4 - 2	Win
Sep 16, 26	Away	gefle IF	Ettan - Norra	0 - 2	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Karlberg	Ettan - Norra	1 - 0	Loss

Järfälla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Home	Umeå FC	Ettan - Norra	1 - 2	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Away	Stocksund	Ettan - Norra	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	AFC Eskilstuna	Ettan - Norra	2 - 4	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Away	Piteå	Ettan - Norra	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 17, 26	Home	Karlberg	Ettan - Norra	5 - 0	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	gefle IF	Ettan - Norra	3 - 1	Loss

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Arlanda	26	14	6	6	46	31	+15	48
15	Järfälla	26	5	4	17	34	57	-23	19

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stockholm Internazionale	27	19	4	4	+42	61
2	Arlanda	27	14	6	7	+13	48
3	Enköping	27	15	3	9	+1	48
4	AFC Eskilstuna	26	14	5	7	+11	47
5	FBK Karlstad	27	13	7	7	+7	46
6	Hammarby Talang	26	13	6	7	+25	45
7	IF Karlstad	26	12	8	6	+15	44
8	Assyriska FF	26	10	5	11	-1	35
9	Umeå FC	26	10	5	11	-6	35
10	Karlberg	27	9	6	12	-10	33
11	gefle IF	27	9	5	13	-14	32
12	Vasalund	26	7	7	12	-16	28
13	Sollentuna	26	6	9	11	-9	27
14	Piteå	26	5	8	13	-16	23
15	Järfälla	27	6	4	17	-21	22
16	Stocksund	27	3	6	18	-21	15

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.49% likelihood that both Arlanda and Järfälla will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Arlanda to win

This prediction indicates that Arlanda has a 61.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.53 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Arlanda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Järfälla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Ettan - Norra Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Arlanda to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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