Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabruck Saturday 17th October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Match Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld VfL Osnabruck
Arminia Bielefeld W D D L D L
VfL Osnabruck D L L W D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Arminia Bielefeld holds a modest quality edge over VfL Osnabruck, and their recent form is much stronger compared to Osnabruck's poor performances. The model predicts a home win with a 55% probability, which aligns closely with the market's view as the odds also favor Bielefeld. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals, suggesting a lively game overall.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Competition Date
VfL Osnabruck Arminia Bielefeld 0 - 1 3. Liga March 15, 2025
Arminia Bielefeld VfL Osnabruck 3 - 1 3. Liga October 20, 2024
Arminia Bielefeld VfL Osnabruck 1 - 1 Friendlies Clubs August 15, 2020
Arminia Bielefeld VfL Osnabruck 1 - 1 2. Bundesliga May 17, 2020
VfL Osnabruck Arminia Bielefeld 0 - 1 2. Bundesliga October 7, 2019
VfL Osnabruck Arminia Bielefeld 0 - 4 3. Liga February 18, 2015

Arminia Bielefeld Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 11, 26 Away VfL Bochum 2. Bundesliga 0 - 1 Win
Oct 3, 26 Home Rot-Weiß Essen Friendlies Clubs 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 20, 26 Home FC Heidenheim 2. Bundesliga 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 11, 26 Away SV Darmstadt 98 2. Bundesliga 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 4, 26 Home FC St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away FC Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga 4 - 1 Loss

VfL Osnabruck Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga 1 - 1 Draw
Oct 3, 26 Home Djurgardens IF Friendlies Clubs 0 - 1 Loss
Oct 2, 26 Away VfL Bochum Friendlies Clubs 4 - 1 Loss
Sep 23, 26 Away Wiedenbrück Friendlies Clubs 0 - 3 Win
Sep 19, 26 Away Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 13, 26 Home Hertha BSC 2. Bundesliga 1 - 3 Loss

2. Bundesliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Arminia Bielefeld 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
10 VfL Osnabruck 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 8
View full table
Pos Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha BSC 8 7 1 0 +11 22
2 FC Nurnberg 8 5 3 0 +10 18
3 VfL Wolfsburg 8 4 3 1 +9 15
4 FC Kaiserslautern 8 4 3 1 +4 15
5 FC Heidenheim 8 4 2 2 0 14
6 1. FC Magdeburg 7 4 1 2 +5 13
7 FC St. Pauli 8 2 5 1 +2 11
8 Energie Cottbus 8 2 3 3 -1 9
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 8 2 3 3 -1 9
10 Arminia Bielefeld 7 2 2 3 -1 8
11 VfL Osnabruck 7 2 2 3 -3 8
12 Hannover 96 8 2 2 4 -5 8
13 Eintracht Braunschweig 8 2 1 5 -2 7
14 VfL Bochum 8 2 1 5 -4 7
15 SV Darmstadt 98 7 2 1 4 -6 7
16 Holstein Kiel 8 0 5 3 -4 5
17 Dynamo Dresden 7 1 2 4 -6 5
18 Karlsruher SC 7 1 2 4 -8 5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.22% likelihood that both Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Osnabruck will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Arminia Bielefeld to win
This prediction indicates that Arminia Bielefeld has a 54.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.26 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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