Arsenal vs Lille Tuesday 13th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 13, 2026 20 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Arsenal Lille
Arsenal W L W W W W
Lille W W L W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts that Arsenal will win with a 63% probability. The prediction leans toward an Arsenal victory due to their clear quality gap and strong recent form, as well as their recent attacking prowess and higher number of shooting chances. Although Lille have a rest advantage, the model still favors Arsenal significantly. The market odds are not available for comparison.

Arsenal Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Leeds 2 - 1 Win
Sep 19, 26 Away Brighton 3 - 0 Loss
Sep 15, 26 Away Ipswich 2 - 4 Win
Sep 12, 26 Away Sunderland 0 - 2 Win
Sep 9, 26 Away Napoli 0 - 1 Win
Sep 6, 26 Home Chelsea 2 - 1 Win

Lille Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home LE Havre 1 - 0 Win
Oct 2, 26 Home Zulte Waregem 2 - 1 Win
Sep 20, 26 Away Nice 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 13, 26 Home Estac Troyes 2 - 0 Win
Sep 8, 26 Home Real Betis 2 - 3 Loss
Sep 3, 26 Away Toulouse 0 - 1 Win

Predictions

Arsenal to win
This prediction indicates that Arsenal has a 63.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.65 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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