Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Tuesday 13th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
UEFA Champions League logo

UEFA Champions League

View league ›

Match Analysis

Atletico Madrid Manchester United
Atletico Madrid W W W W L L
Manchester United D D L L W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Atletico Madrid are in strong recent form, while Manchester United have struggled recently. Despite the two sides being closely matched in overall quality and having similar rest before the match, Atletico Madrid have also dominated recent meetings between the teams. The model predicts a home win with a 50% probability and believes both teams are likely to score, with a 57% chance of both teams finding the net. The model also sees the match ending with more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, at 60% and 58% respectively, suggesting a reasonably open and goal-heavy encounter, which aligns with the even recent shot volume between the sides.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Atletico Madrid Manchester United 2 - 1 August 1, 2026
Atletico Madrid Manchester United 1 - 0 July 30, 2022
Manchester United Atletico Madrid 0 - 1 March 15, 2022
Atletico Madrid Manchester United 1 - 1 February 23, 2022

Atletico Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Away Alaves 1 - 2 Win
Sep 20, 26 Home Real Madrid 2 - 1 Win
Sep 16, 26 Home Osasuna 4 - 0 Win
Sep 13, 26 Away Real Sociedad 0 - 3 Win
Sep 9, 26 Away Liverpool 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Athletic Club 3 - 0 Loss

Manchester United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Tottenham 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 20, 26 Away Fulham 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 16, 26 Home Brighton 2 - 3 Loss
Sep 13, 26 Home Manchester City 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 10, 26 Home Sabah FA 4 - 0 Win
Sep 6, 26 Away Everton 2 - 2 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.69% likelihood that both Atletico Madrid and Manchester United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Atletico Madrid to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Madrid has a 51.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.58 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]