Ashford Town (Middlesex) vs Chertsey Town Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ashford Town (Middlesex) Chertsey Town

Ashford Town (Middlesex) L W L W W D

Chertsey Town L W L D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ashford Town (Middlesex) Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Home	Farnborough	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Farnham Town	4 - 0	Win
Sep 13, 25	Away	Ebbsfleet United	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 25	Home	AFC Whyteleafe	3 - 2	Win
Aug 16, 25	Home	Snodland Town	3 - 2	Win
Aug 5, 25	Home	Eastbourne Town	2 - 2	Draw

Chertsey Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 25	Home	Cray Valley PM	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 30, 25	Home	Thame United	2 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 25	Home	Sutton Utd	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 19, 25	Home	Hampton & Richmond	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 12, 24	Home	Sutton Utd	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 28, 24	Home	Ashford United	3 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.69% likelihood that both Ashford Town (Middlesex) and Chertsey Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Ashford Town (Middlesex) or Chertsey Town to win

This prediction indicates that Ashford Town (Middlesex) has a 39.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.34 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 82.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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