Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad Sunday 11th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Ettan - Norra

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Assyriska FF View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 1 week ago

1 – 0

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FBK Karlstad View team ›

Match Analysis

Assyriska FF FBK Karlstad

Assyriska FF L L W L L W

FBK Karlstad D W D D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Assyriska FF have been struggling in recent matches, while FBK Karlstad have been performing reasonably well. Despite Assyriska FF's historical dominance in head-to-head games, the model predicts an away win with a 39% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds suggest. The model also sees a high chance (62%) that both teams will score, aligning with the strong attacking form FBK Karlstad have shown recently and the goal-filled nature of past encounters between these sides. Overall, the prediction leans toward an away win but expects a game with goals from both sides.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
FBK Karlstad	Assyriska FF	0 - 2	Ettan - Norra	August 1, 2026
Assyriska FF	FBK Karlstad	2 - 3	Ettan - Norra	September 1, 2024
FBK Karlstad	Assyriska FF	3 - 5	Ettan - Norra	June 8, 2024

Assyriska FF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Stockholm Internazionale	Ettan - Norra	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 27, 26	Home	Piteå	Ettan - Norra	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 21, 26	Away	Vasalund	Ettan - Norra	1 - 5	Win
Sep 17, 26	Home	AFC Eskilstuna	Ettan - Norra	2 - 5	Loss
Sep 10, 26	Away	Enköping	Ettan - Norra	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Home	Stocksund	Ettan - Norra	2 - 1	Win

FBK Karlstad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	AFC Eskilstuna	Ettan - Norra	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 27, 26	Away	Umeå FC	Ettan - Norra	1 - 3	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Sollentuna	Ettan - Norra	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 16, 26	Away	IF Karlstad	Ettan - Norra	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Vasalund	Ettan - Norra	2 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Järfälla	Ettan - Norra	0 - 3	Win

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41	35	+6	43
9	Assyriska FF	25	9	5	11	43	45	-2	32

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stockholm Internazionale	27	19	4	4	+42	61
2	Arlanda	27	14	6	7	+13	48
3	Enköping	27	15	3	9	+1	48
4	AFC Eskilstuna	26	14	5	7	+11	47
5	FBK Karlstad	27	13	7	7	+7	46
6	Hammarby Talang	26	13	6	7	+25	45
7	IF Karlstad	26	12	8	6	+15	44
8	Assyriska FF	26	10	5	11	-1	35
9	Umeå FC	26	10	5	11	-6	35
10	Karlberg	27	9	6	12	-10	33
11	gefle IF	27	9	5	13	-14	32
12	Vasalund	26	7	7	12	-16	28
13	Sollentuna	26	6	9	11	-9	27
14	Piteå	26	5	8	13	-16	23
15	Järfälla	27	6	4	17	-21	22
16	Stocksund	27	3	6	18	-21	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.57% likelihood that both Assyriska FF and FBK Karlstad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Assyriska FF or FBK Karlstad to win

This prediction indicates that FBK Karlstad has a 38.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.67 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

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