Athletic Club W vs Valencia W Saturday 17th October 2026 05:30 PM football predictions.

Primera División Femenina

View league ›

Athletic Club W View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 8 hours ago

1 – 0

Full Time

Valencia W View team ›

Match Analysis

Athletic Club W Valencia W

Athletic Club W D W L D W W

Valencia W L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Athletic Club W, and their moderate recent form contrasts with Valencia W's poor form. Additionally, Athletic Club W has a history of dominating recent meetings between the two sides, and both teams have similar rest ahead of the match. Based on these factors, the model predicts a home win with a 63% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward an over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals outcome, slightly more optimistic than the market odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Valencia W	Athletic Club W	0 - 1	Primera División Femenina	January 25, 2025
Athletic Club W	Valencia W	1 - 1	Primera División Femenina	October 20, 2024
Athletic Club W	Valencia W	2 - 0	Primera División Femenina	March 17, 2024
Valencia W	Athletic Club W	1 - 2	Primera División Femenina	November 18, 2023
Athletic Club W	Valencia W	0 - 2	Primera División Femenina	March 12, 2023
Valencia W	Athletic Club W	1 - 2	Primera División Femenina	November 5, 2022

Athletic Club W Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Madrid CFF W	Primera División Femenina	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 27, 26	Home	Atletico Madrid W	Primera División Femenina	3 - 2	Win
Sep 20, 26	Away	Eibar W	Primera División Femenina	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Espanyol W	Primera División Femenina	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Away	Edf Logrono W	Primera División Femenina	0 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 26	Home	FC Levante Badalona	Primera División Femenina	3 - 1	Win

Valencia W Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 4, 26	Home	Real Sociedad W	Primera División Femenina	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 27, 26	Home	Granad. Tenerife W	Primera División Femenina	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Real Madrid W	Primera División Femenina	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	Edf Logrono W	Primera División Femenina	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Madrid CFF W	Primera División Femenina	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Away	Deportivo Alavés	Primera División Femenina	2 - 0	Loss

Primera División Femenina Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Athletic Club W	6	3	2	1	11	8	+3	11
16	Valencia W	6	0	0	6	4	13	-9	0

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona W	6	6	0	0	+26	18
2	Real Madrid W	7	5	1	1	+2	16
3	Athletic Club W	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Madrid CFF W	6	4	1	1	+2	13
5	Eibar W	6	3	2	1	0	11
6	Granad. Tenerife W	7	3	2	2	-1	11
7	Granada	7	3	1	3	-3	10
8	Atletico Madrid W	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	Espanyol W	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	FC Levante Badalona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Sevilla W	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Edf Logrono W	7	2	0	5	-3	6
13	Deportivo Alavés	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Deportivo de La Coruña W	6	1	2	3	-1	5
15	Real Sociedad W	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Valencia W	7	0	0	7	-10	0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Athletic Club W to win

This prediction indicates that Athletic Club W has a 62.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.28 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Odds Comparison

Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed