Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls Sunday 16th August 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Atlanta United FC New York Red Bulls

Atlanta United FC L D L L D L

New York Red Bulls L L W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
New York Red Bulls	Atlanta United FC	3 - 2	February 11, 2026
New York Red Bulls	Atlanta United FC	2 - 0	May 31, 2025
Atlanta United FC	New York Red Bulls	0 - 0	March 9, 2025
Atlanta United FC	New York Red Bulls	2 - 1	October 5, 2024
New York Red Bulls	Atlanta United FC	2 - 2	September 21, 2024
New York Red Bulls	Atlanta United FC	4 - 0	June 24, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	New England Revolution	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Away	Charlotte	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Nashville SC	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Columbus Crew	2 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Orlando City SC	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Los Angeles Galaxy	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Charlotte	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Away	Philadelphia Union	3 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Sporting Kansas City	1 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	New York City FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Home	Columbus Crew	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Chicago Fire	1 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
18	New York Red Bulls	17	6	4	7	26	37	-11	22
30	Atlanta United FC	17	3	3	11	17	30	-13	12

This prediction indicates that Atlanta United FC has a 38.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.80 %

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