Primera Nacional logo

Primera Nacional
Atletico DE Rafaela logo Atletico DE Rafaela
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
San Martin Tucuman logo San Martin Tucuman

Match Analysis

Atletico DE Rafaela San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela W D D W D W
San Martin Tucuman D W D D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Martin Tucuman Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 1 May 2, 2026
Atletico DE Rafaela San Martin Tucuman 1 - 1 July 3, 2022
San Martin Tucuman Atletico DE Rafaela 0 - 3 December 14, 2020
San Martin Tucuman Atletico DE Rafaela 3 - 0 October 20, 2019
San Martin Tucuman Atletico DE Rafaela 0 - 2 November 4, 2017

Atletico DE Rafaela Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Tristan Suarez 2 - 1 Win
Aug 24, 26 Away Club Atlético Güemes 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 14, 26 Home Defensores De Belgrano 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Chacarita Juniors 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away San Martin S.J. 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Nueva Chicago 1 - 0 Win

San Martin Tucuman Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Away Chacarita Juniors 1 - 2 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Deportivo Madryn 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home San Martin S.J. 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Nueva Chicago 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Temperley 1 - 2 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Atletico DE Rafaela 27 10 9 8 20 20 0 39
18 San Martin Tucuman 27 8 12 7 27 24 +3 36

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.61% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Atletico DE Rafaela will score 0 goals, and San Martin Tucuman will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Primera Nacional

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta 16 hours from now · 9:30 p.m. › Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Acassuso vs All Boys 16 hours from now · 9:30 p.m. › San Telmo vs Los Andes 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron 17 hours from now · 11 p.m. ›