Atletico Goianiense vs Fortaleza EC Monday 13th July 2026 12:00 AM football predictions.

Atletico Goianiense Fortaleza EC

Atletico Goianiense W D D W D L

Fortaleza EC D L W L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Atletico Goianiense	Fortaleza EC	3 - 1	December 5, 2024
Fortaleza EC	Atletico Goianiense	3 - 1	July 21, 2024
Fortaleza EC	Atletico Goianiense	1 - 1	November 6, 2022
Atletico Goianiense	Fortaleza EC	0 - 1	July 17, 2022
Fortaleza EC	Atletico Goianiense	0 - 3	October 2, 2021
Atletico Goianiense	Fortaleza EC	0 - 0	June 17, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Ponte Preta	2 - 0	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	Sport Recife	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Home	CRB	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 8, 26	Away	America Mineiro	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Goias	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	São Bernardo	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	CRB	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 16, 26	Home	America Mineiro	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 9, 26	Away	Nautico Recife	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Vitoria	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 3, 26	Home	Vitoria	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Athletic Club	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Fortaleza EC	14	6	4	4	16	15	+1	22
12	Atletico Goianiense	14	4	6	4	16	16	0	18

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Atletico Goianiense has a 38.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.98 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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