Serie A
Match Analysis
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
L
D
W
D
W
D
Bahia
W
W
W
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Atletico Paranaense | 3 - 0 | April 1, 2026 |
| Bahia | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 1 | November 24, 2024 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Bahia | 1 - 3 | July 10, 2024 |
| Bahia | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 1 | November 12, 2023 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Bahia | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2023 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Bahia | 0 - 2 | October 9, 2021 |
Atletico Paranaense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Cruzeiro | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Fluminense | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | RB Bragantino | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Santos | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Bahia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | RB Bragantino | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Internacional | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Vitoria | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Chapecoense-sc | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Vasco DA Gama | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Fluminense | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 25 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 43 |
Predictions
Atletico Paranaense to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Paranaense has a 42.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.85 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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