Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Atyrau Kairat Almaty

Atyrau L L D D D D

Kairat Almaty L W W D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kairat Almaty	Atyrau	1 - 1	June 13, 2026
Kairat Almaty	Atyrau	4 - 0	April 16, 2025
Atyrau	Kairat Almaty	1 - 4	April 6, 2025
Atyrau	Kairat Almaty	0 - 1	November 10, 2024
Kairat Almaty	Atyrau	1 - 0	May 4, 2024
Atyrau	Kairat Almaty	0 - 0	October 29, 2023

Atyrau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Kaspiy	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Yelimay Semey	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Kairat Almaty	1 - 1	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Zhetysu	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Aktobe	1 - 1	Draw

Kairat Almaty Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Okzhetpes	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 4	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	3 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Atyrau	1 - 1	Draw
May 28, 26	Away	Ordabasy	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Kaisar	0 - 0	Draw

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	17	8	6	3	25	16	+9	30
11	Atyrau	15	2	9	4	10	12	-2	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Kairat Almaty to win

This prediction indicates that Kairat Almaty has a 46.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.78 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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