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Premier League

July 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Atyrau Kairat Almaty
Atyrau L L D D D D
Kairat Almaty L W W D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kairat Almaty Atyrau 1 - 1 June 13, 2026
Kairat Almaty Atyrau 4 - 0 April 16, 2025
Atyrau Kairat Almaty 1 - 4 April 6, 2025
Atyrau Kairat Almaty 0 - 1 November 10, 2024
Kairat Almaty Atyrau 1 - 0 May 4, 2024
Atyrau Kairat Almaty 0 - 0 October 29, 2023

Atyrau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Kaspiy 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Yelimay Semey 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Kairat Almaty 1 - 1 Draw
May 28, 26 Home FK Tobol Kostanay 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Zhetysu 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Aktobe 1 - 1 Draw

Kairat Almaty Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Okzhetpes 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Kyzyl-Zhar 2 - 4 Win
Jun 17, 26 Home Kyzyl-Zhar 3 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home Atyrau 1 - 1 Draw
May 28, 26 Away Ordabasy 2 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Kaisar 0 - 0 Draw

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Kairat Almaty 17 8 6 3 25 16 +9 30
11 Atyrau 15 2 9 4 10 12 -2 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Kairat Almaty to win
This prediction indicates that Kairat Almaty has a 46.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.78 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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