Atyrau vs Okzhetpes Sunday 16th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Atyrau Okzhetpes

Atyrau D L L L L L

Okzhetpes L W L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Okzhetpes	Atyrau	0 - 0	May 9, 2026
Atyrau	Okzhetpes	0 - 0	June 28, 2025
Okzhetpes	Atyrau	2 - 1	March 8, 2025
Okzhetpes	Atyrau	0 - 0	September 24, 2023
Atyrau	Okzhetpes	0 - 4	April 2, 2023
Atyrau	Okzhetpes	2 - 2	September 29, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Zhetysu	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Kaspiy	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Kaspiy	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Yelimay Semey	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Aktobe	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Zhetysu	2 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	FK Tobol Kostanay	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	5 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Kairat Almaty	1 - 3	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Okzhetpes	19	10	6	3	32	19	+13	36
15	Atyrau	18	2	9	7	12	18	-6	15

This prediction indicates that Okzhetpes has a 52.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.27 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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