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National 1
Aubagne logo Aubagne
Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Concarneau logo Concarneau

Match Analysis

Aubagne Concarneau
Aubagne L L L D L W
Concarneau W D L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Concarneau Aubagne 1 - 0 February 6, 2026
Aubagne Concarneau 1 - 1 August 29, 2025
Aubagne Concarneau 0 - 2 January 31, 2025
Concarneau Aubagne 0 - 0 August 30, 2024

Aubagne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 20, 26 Away Caen 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home SC Bastia 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Thionville Lusitanos 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Home SC Bastia 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away Montpellier 3 - 2 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Caen 3 - 1 Win

Concarneau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 20, 26 Home Villefranche 2 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away Quevilly 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Home Orleans 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Pontivy GSI 5 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Laval 1 - 2 Win
Jul 22, 26 Away Guingamp 0 - 1 Win

National 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Concarneau 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
18 Aubagne 3 0 0 3 0 5 -5 0

Predictions

Aubagne or Concarneau to win
This prediction indicates that Concarneau has a 41.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.58 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National 1

Cannes vs Le Puy Foot 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Amiens vs Versailles 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Villefranche vs Rouen 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Valenciennes vs Concarneau 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Orleans vs La Roche VF 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Quevilly vs Fleury 91 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Thionville Lusitanos vs Gobelins 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. ›