Aucas vs LDU de Quito Sunday 16th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Aucas LDU de Quito

Aucas L L W L W W

LDU de Quito W D L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
LDU de Quito	Aucas	0 - 0	April 23, 2026
Aucas	LDU de Quito	1 - 0	August 9, 2025
LDU de Quito	Aucas	3 - 1	April 18, 2025
Aucas	LDU de Quito	0 - 1	August 17, 2024
LDU de Quito	Aucas	1 - 2	March 16, 2024
Aucas	LDU de Quito	0 - 0	August 13, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Macara	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Away	Orense SC	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	Tecnico Universitario	0 - 1	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	Independiente del Valle	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca	0 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Guayaquil City FC	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 26	Away	Barcelona SC	0 - 1	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	Manta FC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Leones del Norte	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Away	Universidad Catolica	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Home	Libertad	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Away	Macara	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Aucas	22	10	5	7	24	25	-1	35
6	LDU de Quito	22	9	5	8	21	17	+4	32

This prediction indicates that Aucas has a 37.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.06 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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