Serie C - Girone C logo

Serie C - Girone C
Audace Cerignola logo Audace Cerignola
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Casertana logo Casertana

Match Analysis

Audace Cerignola Casertana
Audace Cerignola L W D D D L
Casertana W D D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Casertana Audace Cerignola 4 - 1 April 12, 2026
Audace Cerignola Casertana 1 - 1 December 7, 2025
Casertana Audace Cerignola 0 - 1 February 10, 2025
Audace Cerignola Casertana 0 - 0 September 29, 2024
Casertana Audace Cerignola 0 - 0 May 11, 2024
Casertana Audace Cerignola 1 - 1 March 7, 2024

Audace Cerignola Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away Cavese 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Nuova Cosenza 3 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Away Crotone 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Benevento 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Home Team Altamura 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 12, 26 Away Casertana 4 - 1 Loss

Casertana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Savoia 1 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Barletta 3 - 3 Draw
May 13, 26 Away Salernitana 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Salernitana 2 - 3 Loss
May 6, 26 Home Crotone 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Atalanta II 1 - 0 Win

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Audace Cerignola 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
12 Casertana 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1

Predictions

Audace Cerignola to win
This prediction indicates that Audace Cerignola has a 41.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.78 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Serie C - Girone C

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