Serie C - Girone C
Match Analysis
Bari
Casarano
Bari
W
D
D
W
W
L
Casarano
L
D
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bari | Casarano | 2 - 3 | August 4, 2025 |
Bari Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Cavese | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Sudtirol | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Sudtirol | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Catanzaro | 2 - 3 | Win |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Virtus Entella | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 24, 26 | Away | Avellino | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Casarano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Potenza | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Union Brescia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Union Brescia | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Renate | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Renate | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 6, 26 | Away | Nuova Cosenza | 1 - 5 | Win |
Serie C - Girone C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casarano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Bari to win
This prediction indicates that Bari has a 43.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.09 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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