Primera División
Match Analysis
Aurora
Bolívar
Aurora
W
D
L
W
W
D
Bolívar
W
W
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolívar | Aurora | 6 - 1 | November 6, 2025 |
| Aurora | Bolívar | 0 - 2 | May 11, 2025 |
| Bolívar | Aurora | 0 - 1 | October 20, 2024 |
| Aurora | Bolívar | 1 - 1 | May 22, 2024 |
| Aurora | Bolívar | 2 - 1 | August 12, 2023 |
| Bolívar | Aurora | 1 - 0 | March 12, 2023 |
Aurora Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | ABB | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Oriente Petrolero | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Nacional Potosí | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 2, 26 | Away | Universitario de Vinto | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Real Tomayapo | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Real Oruro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Bolívar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Gremio | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Guabirá | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | The Strongest | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 28, 26 | Home | Independ. Rivadavia | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 19, 26 | Away | Fluminense | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Universitario de Vinto | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aurora | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Bolívar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 18 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.27% likelihood that both Aurora and Bolívar will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Bolívar to win
This prediction indicates that Bolívar has a 55.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.67 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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