Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Austin
San Diego
Austin
D
D
W
D
W
L
San Diego
L
L
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | Austin | 5 - 0 | May 14, 2026 |
| San Diego | Austin | 2 - 0 | June 1, 2025 |
| Austin | San Diego | 2 - 1 | March 23, 2025 |
Austin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Philadelphia Union | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | FC Dallas | 1 - 2 | Loss |
San Diego Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Los Angeles FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | San Diego | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 34 | +6 | 30 |
| 26 | Austin | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.8% likelihood that both Austin and San Diego will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Austin or San Diego to win
This prediction indicates that San Diego has a 38.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.56 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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