Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Real Salt Lake
New York City FC
Real Salt Lake
L
L
D
D
L
L
New York City FC
D
L
L
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake | New York City FC | 2 - 2 | January 24, 2025 |
| Real Salt Lake | New York City FC | 0 - 0 | June 11, 2023 |
| New York City FC | Real Salt Lake | 6 - 0 | April 17, 2022 |
| Real Salt Lake | New York City FC | 3 - 1 | August 4, 2019 |
| New York City FC | Real Salt Lake | 4 - 0 | April 11, 2018 |
| Real Salt Lake | New York City FC | 2 - 1 | May 18, 2017 |
Real Salt Lake Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | FC Dallas | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Minnesota United FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | St. Louis City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Los Angeles FC | 3 - 1 | Loss |
New York City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | FC Cincinnati | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Philadelphia Union | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Toronto FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 1 - 2 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 28 |
| 18 | New York City FC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 30 | +5 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.32% likelihood that both Real Salt Lake and New York City FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Real Salt Lake to win
This prediction indicates that Real Salt Lake has a 44.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.02 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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