Avai vs Nautico Recife Sunday 12th July 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Avai Nautico Recife

Avai L W L L L L

Nautico Recife L D L L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nautico Recife	Avai	1 - 2	November 21, 2021
Avai	Nautico Recife	2 - 0	August 14, 2021
Nautico Recife	Avai	2 - 2	November 6, 2020
Avai	Nautico Recife	3 - 1	August 9, 2020
Avai	Nautico Recife	3 - 0	November 12, 2016
Nautico Recife	Avai	3 - 1	July 23, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	Athletic Club	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Cuiaba	1 - 0	Win
Jun 16, 26	Away	Londrina	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 10, 26	Away	Ceara	2 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Criciuma	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Goias	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Vila Nova	4 - 3	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Novorizontino	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 9, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	0 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Sport Recife	2 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Cuiaba	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Operario-PR	2 - 6	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Nautico Recife	14	6	2	6	21	18	+3	20
18	Avai	14	3	4	7	15	20	-5	13

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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